Thursday, February 24, 2011

OLAM CHART - Hammer candlestick pattern spotted yesterday, broke away from yesterday high of 2.61...

Possible to rebound back to above 2.80 level on clarification made by Company. Strong volume seen today on rebound....

 Olam (O32.SG) rises 3.1% to S$2.64, recovering some of it's 13% fall this week, with analysts largely debunking concerns sparked by a recent CLSA report talking about Olam's dependency on Nigeria export incentives and perceived accounting discrepancies. RBS says the concerns are "misplaced," and reiterates its Buy call with S$4.05 target. IIFL says "this may well be Nigerian scam at its finest: a disgruntled rival trader spun a tale; a brokerage took the bait and speculated that Olam's business is built on Nigerian export incentives." It adds, Olam's operations are robust and its gearing is within the comfort zone; "we recommend Buy, especially now that it is trading at a cheap 17X forward P/E." Morgan Stanley, which has an Overweight rating says "the issue of export incentives is not significant...and we are not concerned about the impact of a change in incentive structures on Olam's profitability." Credit Suisse, which has a Outperform call and S$4.20 target, says the sharp pullback means Olam shares are now at "an attractive entry point."

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