ThaiBev: Can it head towards 1.00? This made it so much easier.... see what I mean....

Following up from the first Bullish Entry email call on 16 May 2016 at a price of 0.805, we have indeed seen ThaiBev traded upwards to 0.91 after about 3 weeks Now….

There were also several email calls issued thereafter too (see below)….

Sent: Thursday, June 02, 2016 9:24 AM
Subject: *********** ThaiBev: Move above 0.900 finally....

Sent: Wednesday, May 18, 2016 9:19 AM
Subject: ************ ThaiBev: Profit taking seen yesterday after touching 0.95.... Still good to go above 0.84, with some consolidation expected., price 0.875

Sent: Tuesday, May 17, 2016 10:12 AM
Subject: ************** ThaiBev: Heading towards 0.900 where we may see some profit taking.... price 0.87

Sent: Monday, May 16, 2016 9:17 AM
Subject: ************** ThaiBev: Breakout above 0.800 can offer more upside.... price 0.805

It has crossed above the 0.900 psychological resistance again over the past few days and still maintaining above so far…. 

Question is, can it attempt a move above the 0.95 temp resistance level for now, if yes, what about the KEY 1.00 psychological level?

Manual analysis aside….

On this very system that I have developed….

We actually had a 1GT Bullish Entry Signal on 11 May 2016 (even earlier), with an Entry price at 0.775 (even lower).......

After 3 weeks, we are looking at a 17.4% Gain based on the current price now at 0.91…..

And yes, there isn’t an Exit signal yet…..

So where can ThaiBev head to? Who knows…

Whatever ! 

We just follow the trend, protect our profits and ride....

Let the market decide when to take us out !!!!  J

And maybe the system to tell us eventually when to get out….

Keep things simple I guess…..

To know more about this very system, you can attend a FREE introductory workshop in a few months time. 


Apologies that they are all sold out for now….

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ThaiBev: What a huge spike seen over the past 2 days of more than 10% Gains ..... anybody got in on time?

Went to a high of 0.95 today before we saw some profit taking which is normal given the rise we have seen..

Congrats to those who managed to lock in some positions as per call yesterday morning.... 

Have even breached out 0.90 target which actually above my expectations for a 2 day period.  J

Glad that some has profited !

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Sent: Monday, May 16, 2016 9:17 AM
Subject: ************** ThaiBev: Breakout above 0.800 can offer more upside.... price 0.805

A move above the previous higher at 0.800 with it maintaining above on stronger than average volume can see buyers gaining back control with target to 0.85 then 0.90. As long as 0.800 holds as support now, a short term positive. Stop loss at 0.785.

***************** Thai Beverage: Further breakout predicted..... price now 0.755 - Where to now ?

Over the past 2 follow up calls to CLIENTS, Thaibev did manage to break above the 0.725 resistance followed by the 0.75 resistance as predicted as of NOW. Were you notified ?

Where to now ?   J

Follow up *********************** Thai Beverage: Back to consolidation again before more upside. price 0.705 (Now 0.725)

Can it cross the 0.725 resistance now ? Were you notified of the Quick REBOUND above 0.700 last week ?

Follow up *********************** Thai Beverage: Back to consolidation in wait of more Direction....... price 0.68 - (BREAKOUT SEEN INDEED - PRICE 0.71)

Clients were informed upon the BREAKOUT OF 0.65 and then again to Accumulate AGAIN when it was consolidating after……. Some have already taken profit.

What about you ?

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Sent: Wednesday, August 20, 2014 9:04 AM
Subject: Follow up *********************** Thai Beverage: Potential Breakout: 0.65 resistance KEY... NOW 0.655

Seems to have BROKE above the Critical 0.65 resistance level as mentioned yesterday. Support would remain at this level now currently. As long as this holds, we are short term bullish with target at 0.70 then 0.75. More confirmation when even sellers at 0.66 gets taken out quickly !!!

Sent: Tuesday, August 19, 2014 11:37 AM
Subject: Follow up *********************** Thai Beverage: Potential Breakout: 0.65 resistance KEY... NOW 0.645

Raise stop loss to 0.64 for long positions on the break above 0.65. A break above this can pave the way to 0.700 fast. Note that it has been supported above the channel support line since Dec last year and uptrend still very much intact. Would have to clear this hurdle for more the next phase of upside.  J

********************* Thai Beverage: LIVE SMS on breakout to clients :)

Can it hit out Target at 0.70 today ? Today’s high at 0.69 !

********************** Thai Beverage: Range trading in the wait of more direction....... price 0.62 ( NOW 0.66)

Thai Beverage has indeed manage to cross above the 0.64 to 0.65 resistance. CONGRATS to clients who manage to accumulate some during the consolidation phase previously…….

More upside now ? Want to be NOTIFIED LIVE TOO ? Contact us now !

Sent: Wednesday, July 09, 2014 11:00 AM
Subject: ************************* Thai Beverage: Range trading in the wait of more direction....... price 0.625

Thbev has been consolidating in the range of 0.61 to 0.64 for more than a month already. Seems like this 0.61 support level is holding pretty well which was originally the resistance it broke up from in May. So far this counter has been supported above the uptrend channel line since Dec last year and hovering closely to the 20 day MA LINE. Can consider trading the range and await an upside potential breakout above 0.64. This 0.64 level has held since July last year so any clearing resistance at 0.64 to 0.65 can be a key positive to see it trade upwards to0.70 fast. Monitor. Will average up on this breakout and raise stop loss to 0.63.

Current stop loss for long position would be at 0.595.

*********** Broke out of consolidation Again: THBEV. Share price 0.63

Following up from previous Trading BUY Calls. Thbev has indeed broken up above 0.600 and consolidated for more than a week within the range of 0.60 to 0.62. Today we have seen a further breakout on TOP 5 VOLUME upwards above 0.62 with a high at 0.64. Likely to see it test 0.65 in the near term.  0.700 can be the next possible target if even resistance at 0.65 clears out. Monitor closely and take profit along the way above 0.68.

Move Stop loss up at 0.61

 

************ Trading BUY: THBEV. Share price 0.59. (More uspide if the 0.600 clears out )

Thbev has staged a strong run up over the past few days as due to more clarity over Thailand political crisis. Has tested and broken up the 0.585 resistance level ON TOP 5 VOLUME TODAY which was the support in July last year. Trading buy for more upside, likely to test psychological 0.600. A break above 0.600 can pave the way to 0.65 first then 0.700. Can consider averaging up if the 0.600 resistance is broken.

Stop loss at 0.545

 

 

******* Slowly inching upwards: THBEV. Share price 0.565.

Likely to test immediate resistance at 0.575 first. If manage to cross above this possible to head to 0.600 critically. A break above 0.600 will be a confirmation for more upside to the 0.65 level. Top 10 Volume seen currently. Has cross above the 20 DAY MA line last week and also just broke above the 200 DAY MA line yesterday, a potential reversal play back up as long as support at 0.55 holds now.

Stop loss at 0.545

 

CIMB � 29 AUGUST 2013

Changes in excise tax law

THBEV SP /TBEV.SI| OUTPERFORM - Maintained | S$0.52 - TP:S$0.71

�We understand that there will be changes to the alcoholic excise tax policy motivated by the government's desire to prevent importers from understating cost. There is little clarity at this stage but we do not think that Spirits margins will be adversely affected. In fact, Spirits volume may benefit. There has been no official statement yet but we do not think that these changes will be detrimental to spirits margin. There are no changes to our FY13-15 EPS estimates and SOP-based target price for now. We keep our Outperform call and expect re-rating catalysts from further corporate restructuring.

 

***** Trading Sell: THBEV. Share price 0.49. (CFD SELL position only - break down of critical 0.500)

Thai Beverage has broken down the critical support level of 0.500 today convincingly. This support level has been holding since Jan 2013. Likely to head lower on any market weakness to 0.45, 0.40 then 0.385 level. Can hold CFD sell position on this breakdown with a  target from 1.45 to 1.46 level near term. Only the upside breakout of 0.500 will invalidated our bearish scenario. Head and shoulder formation with head formed in May 2013 and lower shoulder levels may signal a reversal back down.

Buy stop at 0.515.

 

****** Possible Downside: Thbev. Share price 0.535. (Head and Shoulder neckline Breakdown) - CFD SHORT TRADE

Following up from previous call made on 18^th July 2013. Thbev has indeed not held above the 0.58 support level and has traded down further to test support at 0.55 to 0.54 level. Currently it has broken immediate support at 0.54 and more downside can be possible to test Critical 0.500 if it does not creep back up above 0.55. CFD Sell trade can be considered to trade the downside with a target at 0.500 to 0.505. a break below 0.500 can see it go to 0.45 which was the resistance turned support level formed in Jan 2013. A head and shoulder pattern can bee seen with neckline support at 0.54 form in April 2013 and last week.

Buy Stop at 0.555 for CFD Sell trades

 

**** Monitor for Breakdown of Support: Thbev. Share price 0.58. (CFD SHORT TRADE)

THBEV is currently testing its critical support at 0.58 which has held for more than 3 months already. Quite a significant level to watch. If this support gets sold down, more sellers might emerged to sell it down further. A potential CFD SELL trade if the 0.58 support breaks down with near term target at 0.55. Note that if the 0.58 support still holds, it can still stage a rebound back up to the 0.600 level, nobody knows so let’s see. J

Buy stop at 0.59 for Cfd Sell trades.

 

**** Watch the Breakout: Thai Beverage. Share price 0.695.

Thai Beverage is testing the critical 0.700 level currently on TOP 2 VOLUME. If it manages to break and stay above this 0.700 level, can see it trend higher and find a new high probably from 0.74 to 0.75 region. Has been consolidating from more than a week from 0.65 to 0.685 level and finally some movement today seen. A follow up from last Monday 13^th May 2013 technical buy call.

Stop loss at 0.67.

 

StanChart – 22 May 2013

n We visited Myanmar and met the management of Fraser & Neave (F&N), Myanmar Brewery‟s controlling shareholders. n The country‟s extended isolation has led to a shortage of basic consumer items – and a thirst for beer. Myanmar could generate 47% of Thai Beverage (Thai Bev)‟s beer volume growth in 2013-17. n We consider Thai Bev an excellent proxy for the opportunities in Myanmar, despite rising competition. Thai Bev has a 29% stake in F&N and we believe there is a strong likelihood of a restructuring. We estimate Myanmar Brewery would represent 8% of Thai Bev‟s NAV under the restructuring scenario.

 

 

**** Monitor the Breakout Closely: Thai Bev. Share price 0.64.

Currently in Top 3 volume, Thbev looks set to test the 0.65 resistance level which was the high last month. Tested 2 times at 0.65 last month but failed to cross above then. Traders looking for a breakout can consider taking long positions at these level.  A break above 0.65 can see it go to 0.700 in the near term. We would add our long position on this breakout and take profit around the 0.68 to 0.700 region.

Stop loss at 0.635 if the breakout does occur. 

***** Accumulate on Dips: Thai Beverage (THBEV). Share price 0.62.

Thai Bev has been supported very strongly above the 0.600 critical support level. Since the 8^th of March 2013 after it has broken out above the 0.600 level, this 0.600 has turned from resistance to support. As long as 0.600 is not broken down, we are bullish. Trading range has gone wider currently from 0.600 to 0.65 region. Possible to accumulate on dip from 0.600 to 0.615 region and profit from any rebound nearer to the 0.65 region. Note that a break out above the 0.65 region can see it go to 0.68 and 0.70 target quickly.

Stop loss strictly at 0.59 as if the 0.600 does not hold, it can retrace to around the 0.545 region.

  

**** Potential Trade Set-up: Thai Beverage (THBEV). Share price 0.61.

Following up from previous trading call made on 8 March 2013, Thai Beverage has since broken above the 0.600 psychological resistance level and been trading above this level ever since for more than a week. Resistance at 0.600 has turned a critical support which it is hovering above currently. Currently seen in TOP 5 volume. News: “Please note that healthcare service provider IHH Healthcare Berhad (IHH) have been replaced by Thai Beverage (ThaiBev) as a constituent stock of the STI following the conclusion of the half-yearly review. This was effective from yesterday 18 Mar 2013”. Still might see fund managers adjusting their portfolio to hold more THBEV to track the STI index. More of a longer term trade to ride the gains on any break above 0.635 to 0.65 now. Near term target price at 0.700 if the 0.64 level clears out. As long as 0.600 remains as a critical support level and holds well, we are bullish with mid to long term upside bias. Possible to accumulate near support levels from 0.600 to 0.615.

For short term traders, a stop loss at 0.585 nevertheless.

  

Potential Trade setup: Thai Beverage (THBEV). Share price 0.575.

Has been trading in the range of 0.545 to 0.600 since 14 Feb 2013 till now. Immediate resistance clearly at 0.600 for now, also a psychological resistance to take note. 0.545 remains as near term support which was previously a resistance turned support. A break above 0.600 can see it find a new high to 0.64 to 0.70 region.  News: “Please note that healthcare service provider IHH Healthcare Berhad (IHH) will be replaced by Thai Beverage (ThaiBev) as a constituent stock of the STI following the conclusion of the half-yearly review. This would be effective from 18 Mar 2013”. Might see fund managers adjusting their portfolio to hold more THBEV to track the STI index. More of a longer term trade to ride the gains on any break above 0.600.

Stop loss 0.585 nevertheless.